Fl Gulf Co
W-L: (14-16) PR = 93.8020Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1108 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 51-77 1119 H George Mason A10 (24-10, 95.6) 41-58 1125 H Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 64-82 1128 A Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 66-62 1129 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 70-74 1203 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 58-68 1212 A Florida Atl AME (13-18, 93.8) 70-59 1220 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 43-** 1229 H Columbia IVY (24- 8, 95.8) 44-63 101 A No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 51-44 103 A Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 64-51 108 A Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 58-54 110 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 63-42 115 H We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 56-63 117 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 65-45 122 H Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 66-74 124 H Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 44-53 129 A Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 63-52 131 H No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 55-60 205 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 79-40 207 H Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 70-81 212 A No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 55-51 214 H Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 52-62 219 A Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 69-63 221 H Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 61-70 225 A No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 58-55 227 A Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 67-55 303 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 94-28 305 H Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 63-70 323 H Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 56-62
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 H Davidson 51-77 -26 -1 -0.79
1119 H George Mason 41-58 -17 -2 -0.21
1125 H Indiana 64-82 -18 -2 0.00
1128 A Stanford 66-62 4 -2 + 3.94
1129 H Troy 70-74 -4 -2 -0.43
1203 H Arkansas St 58-68 -10 -1 -0.88
1212 A Florida Atl 70-59 11 0 + 2.03
1220 H So Carolina 43-** -62 -5 0.00
1229 H Columbia 44-63 -19 -2 -0.02
101 A No Alabama 51-44 7 0 1.61
103 A Ce Arkansas 64-51 13 0 + 2.32
108 A Austin Peay 58-54 4 0 1.88
110 A Lipscomb 63-42 21 1 0.71
115 H We Georgia 56-63 -7 1 - -2.54
117 A Queens Univ 65-45 20 2 0.09
122 H Austin Peay 66-74 -8 0 - -2.14
124 H Lipscomb 44-53 -9 1 - -3.31
129 A Ce Arkansas 63-52 11 0 + 2.32
131 H No Alabama 55-60 -5 0 - -2.41
205 A Bellarmine 79-40 39 3 0.00
207 H Jacksonville 70-81 -11 -1 -1.23
212 A No Florida 55-51 4 1 0.53
214 H Stetson 52-62 -10 0 -1.88
219 A Ea Kentucky 69-63 6 -1 + 2.62
221 H Jacksonville 61-70 -9 -1 -1.23
225 A No Florida 58-55 3 1 0.53
227 A Stetson 67-55 12 0 + 2.14
303 A Bellarmine 94-28 66 3 0.00
305 H Stetson 63-70 -7 0 -1.88
323 H Loyola Chic 56-62 -6 0 -1.78
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 H We Georgia 56-63 -7 1 - -2.54 122 H Austin Peay 66-74 -8 0 - -2.14 124 H Lipscomb 44-53 -9 1 - -3.31 131 H No Alabama 55-60 -5 0 - -2.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1128 A Stanford 66-62 4 -2 + 3.94 1212 A Florida Atl 70-59 11 0 + 2.03 103 A Ce Arkansas 64-51 13 0 + 2.32 129 A Ce Arkansas 63-52 11 0 + 2.32 219 A Ea Kentucky 69-63 6 -1 + 2.62 227 A Stetson 67-55 12 0 + 2.14 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 51-77 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 1.01 -2.47
3 H George Mason (24-10, 95.6) 41-58 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 1.01 -2.18
3 H Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 64-82 -3.81 7.15 -0.01 1.01 -1.93
3 A Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 66-62 -4.17 6.79 0.01 1.01 13.76
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 70-74 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 1.01 -2.29
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 58-68 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 1.01 -2.52
3 A Florida Atl (13-18, 93.8) 70-59 -6.08 4.89 0.01 1.01 9.90
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 43-** -0.74 10.22 -0.01 1.01 -0.38
3 H Columbia (24- 8, 95.8) 44-63 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 1.01 -2.09
3 A No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 51-44 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.01 9.05
3 A Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 64-51 -5.79 5.17 0.01 1.01 10.48
3 A Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 58-54 -6.23 4.73 0.01 1.01 9.60
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 63-42 -7.39 3.57 0.01 1.01 7.24
3 H We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 56-63 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -3.36
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 65-45 -8.02 2.94 0.01 1.01 5.97
3 H Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 66-74 -6.23 4.73 -0.01 1.01 -3.15
3 H Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 44-53 -7.39 3.57 -0.01 1.01 -3.74
3 A Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 63-52 -5.79 5.17 0.01 1.01 10.48
3 H No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 55-60 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 1.01 -3.29
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 79-40 -9.12 1.84 0.01 1.01 3.75
3 H Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 70-81 -5.32 5.64 -0.01 1.01 -2.69
3 A No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 55-51 -7.58 3.38 0.01 1.01 6.87
3 H Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 52-62 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.01 -3.02
3 A Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 69-63 -5.49 5.47 0.01 1.01 11.09
3 H Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 61-70 -5.32 5.64 -0.01 1.01 -2.69
3 A No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 58-55 -7.58 3.38 0.01 1.01 6.87
3 A Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 67-55 -5.97 4.99 0.01 1.01 10.12
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 94-28 -9.12 1.84 0.01 1.01 3.75
3 H Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 63-70 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.01 -3.02
3 H Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 56-62 -5.87 5.09 -0.01 1.01 -2.97
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77.11
|
winning pts = 118.9217 losing points = -41.8137
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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